云端书斋 -Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Expert Probabilities
本书资料更新时间:2025-01-19 17:44:21

Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Expert Probabilities 下载 pdf 百度网盘 epub 免费 2025 电子书 mobi 在线

Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Expert Probabilities精美图片
》Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Expert Probabilities电子书籍版权问题 请点击这里查看《

Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Expert Probabilities书籍详细信息

  • ISBN:9780470029992
  • 作者:暂无作者
  • 出版社:暂无出版社
  • 出版时间:2006-09-14
  • 页数:321
  • 价格:508.50
  • 纸张:暂无纸张
  • 装帧:暂无装帧
  • 开本:暂无开本
  • 语言:未知
  • 丛书:暂无丛书
  • TAG:暂无
  • 豆瓣评分:暂无豆瓣评分
  • 豆瓣短评:点击查看
  • 豆瓣讨论:点击查看
  • 豆瓣目录:点击查看
  • 读书笔记:点击查看
  • 原文摘录:点击查看
  • 更新时间:2025-01-19 17:44:21

内容简介:

Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: * Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. * Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. * Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. * Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. * Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.


书籍目录:

暂无相关目录,正在全力查找中!


作者介绍:

暂无相关内容,正在全力查找中


出版社信息:

暂无出版社相关信息,正在全力查找中!


书籍摘录:

暂无相关书籍摘录,正在全力查找中!



原文赏析:

暂无原文赏析,正在全力查找中!


其它内容:

书籍介绍

Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: * Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. * Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. * Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. * Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. * Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.


书籍真实打分

  • 故事情节:5分

  • 人物塑造:5分

  • 主题深度:7分

  • 文字风格:4分

  • 语言运用:8分

  • 文笔流畅:9分

  • 思想传递:8分

  • 知识深度:4分

  • 知识广度:8分

  • 实用性:6分

  • 章节划分:4分

  • 结构布局:6分

  • 新颖与独特:8分

  • 情感共鸣:4分

  • 引人入胜:9分

  • 现实相关:4分

  • 沉浸感:9分

  • 事实准确性:5分

  • 文化贡献:3分


网站评分

  • 书籍多样性:4分

  • 书籍信息完全性:6分

  • 网站更新速度:7分

  • 使用便利性:6分

  • 书籍清晰度:4分

  • 书籍格式兼容性:8分

  • 是否包含广告:8分

  • 加载速度:8分

  • 安全性:9分

  • 稳定性:9分

  • 搜索功能:5分

  • 下载便捷性:5分


下载点评

  • 差评(330+)
  • 差评少(621+)
  • epub(503+)
  • 种类多(121+)
  • 内容齐全(474+)
  • 下载快(138+)

下载评价

  • 网友 谢***灵: ( 2024-12-26 16:48:21 )

    推荐,啥格式都有

  • 网友 石***烟: ( 2024-12-22 21:41:29 )

    还可以吧,毕竟也是要成本的,付费应该的,更何况下载速度还挺快的

  • 网友 车***波: ( 2025-01-19 02:25:37 )

    很好,下载出来的内容没有乱码。

  • 网友 田***珊: ( 2025-01-13 22:00:01 )

    可以就是有些书搜不到

  • 网友 通***蕊: ( 2025-01-16 13:48:34 )

    五颗星、五颗星,大赞还觉得不错!~~

  • 网友 孙***夏: ( 2025-01-14 17:29:53 )

    中评,比上不足比下有余

  • 网友 辛***玮: ( 2025-01-14 06:15:00 )

    页面不错 整体风格喜欢

  • 网友 步***青: ( 2025-01-10 08:39:51 )

    。。。。。好

  • 网友 权***颜: ( 2025-01-04 08:25:14 )

    下载地址、格式选择、下载方式都还挺多的

  • 网友 曾***文: ( 2025-01-05 21:22:31 )

    五星好评哦

  • 网友 冯***丽: ( 2024-12-20 13:11:55 )

    卡的不行啊

  • 网友 仰***兰: ( 2025-01-15 10:19:30 )

    喜欢!很棒!!超级推荐!

  • 网友 晏***媛: ( 2025-01-12 02:46:18 )

    够人性化!

  • 网友 家***丝: ( 2024-12-24 08:56:46 )

    好6666666

  • 网友 瞿***香: ( 2024-12-31 01:48:47 )

    非常好就是加载有点儿慢。

  • 网友 国***舒: ( 2024-12-24 00:07:03 )

    中评,付点钱这里能找到就找到了,找不到别的地方也不一定能找到


随机推荐